Resource Futures
A report by Bob Kearney of Applied Ecology Research Group,
University of Canberra, and Barney Foran, Franzi Poldy, and
Don Lowe of Resource Futures Program, CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems
Accessing the Report
The policy and management implications document is available
for download in Adobe Acrobat pdf format. If you are unable
to access or read this file format, please contact the Resource Futures Program at CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems.
cse.resfutures@csiro.au.
 |
Modelling Australia's
Fisheries to 2050:
Policy and Management Implications
(40 page report)
PDF
Document (1.65Kb) |
About the Report
This report is a joint project by the University of Canberra and CSIRO for the Fisheries Research and Development Corporation (FRDC). Using historical data on 220 separate Australian fisheries, the project has created a modelling framework that provides estimates of future yields under alternative fishing strategies, and develops scenarios for fisheries supply and demand to 2050. The fisheries model is embedded in the Australian Stocks and Flows Framework (ASFF)1 that represents economic activity, resource use and environmental impact over the whole economy and provides the context for activity in the fisheries sector.
Given the world context of fisheries management, and the
long-
term link between population growth, economic development
and fish production, this study for Australia had five goals:
- To analyse the long-range perspective of tensions between
fisheries demand and production at a national level for
use in fisheries policy development.
- To identify and quantify the linkages between the demands
generated by human population growth and affluence and their
effects on a range of natural resources, particularly capture
fisheries and aquaculture.
- To test a range of policy options which address demand
and supply imbalances at a national level out to 2050.
- To strengthen future fisheries management policies by
providing a comprehensive, long-term view of the dynamics
of production and demand for resources.
- To enable fisheries to be properly incorporated into an
on-going national program of modelling future natural resource
demand and demographic influences.
- To provide a simplified interpretation of Australia's
total long-term resource demands and likely production to
enable the fishing industry to better understand their relationship
with other resource users and with national development
policies.
This report is a 'must have' for fisheries managers and policy
makers.
1 ASFF and the embedded fisheries module are implemented using the whatIf? suite of modelling tools developed and distributed by whatIf? Technologies Inc. (formerly Robbert Associates Ltd), of Ottawa, Canada.
Please send all enquries to CSE Resource Futures.
cse.resfutures@csiro.au.
|
Research 
